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Assessment of global solar resource development

2021-12-01

【论文推荐】全球能源互联网发展合作组织汤琼等：全球太阳能资源开发评估

文章导读

随着环境问题的日益严重，许多国家制定了能源转型目标以助力《巴黎协定》的实现。利用太阳能作为传统能源替代品支持能源转型已成为国际共识。因此分析太阳能资源分布、储量及质量不仅可以帮助单个国家有效利用本国资源，更有助于实现洲际资源规模化互补与利用。本研究构建了全球太阳能资源评估数据库、建模方法和平台工具。首先，通过对全球太阳能资源进行评估，包括理论储量（TRs）、技术装机容量（TPIC）和平均开发成本（ADC)，对各大洲评估结果进行了分析比较。其次，基于大数据和地理信息系统（GIS）技术，通过容量因子和平均开发成本这两个核心指标计算出全球太阳能技术装机容量分布特征。此外。对太阳能资源精细化开发潜力进行了数据驱动的定量评估。最后，对资源评估结果合理性进行了验证。

Assessment of global solar resource development

全球太阳能资源开发评估

Qiong Tang^1,2, Jiawei Wu^1,2, Jinyu Xiao^1,2, Yuanbing Zhou¹^,²

(1.Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, Xicheng District, 100031, Beijing, P.R. China 2.Global Energy Interconnection Group Co., Ltd., Xicheng District, 100031, Beijing, P.R. China)

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Abstract

With the increasing severity of environmental problems, many countries have set energy transition targets to promote the realization of the Paris Agreement. There has been a global consensus on utilizing solar energy resources as alternatives to conventional sources to support this energy transition. In this regard, analyzing the “location,” “quantity,” and “quality” of global solar energy resources will not only assist an individual country to efficiently utilize these resources but also promote the realization of large-scale intercontinental resource utilization and complementation. This study established the basic database, model methods, and platform tools for global solar energy assessment, Then, a global solar energy resource assessment was conducted, which included the theoretical reserves (TRs), technical installed potential capacity (TPIC), and average development cost (ADC). A comparative analysis of the assessment results for all continents was also performed. After that, based on big data analysis and geographic information system (GIS) calculations, the distribution characteristics of the global solar power TPIC were calculated with the two core indicators, namely the capacity factor and ADC. Furthermore, a data-driven quantitative evaluation of the refined development potential of solar energy resources was performed. Finally, the reasonableness and coincidence analysis of the resource assessment results were verified using data from global and specifically Chinese photovoltaic (PV) bases.

Keywords

Solar energy resource assessment, Theoretical reserves, Technical installed capacity, Average development cost, Development potential, Big data, GIS.

Fig.1 Schematic diagram of thermal distribution of power grid facilities in South America

Fig.2 Main function modules of GREAN platform

Fig.3 Comparison of TRs of solar resources

Fig.4 Comparison of TPIC values of solar PV energy resources of continents

Fig.5 Comparison of full-load hours with different solar PV energy development modes of continent

Fig.6 Distribution of global technical available areas for solar photovoltaic generation and their photovoltaic capacity factors

Fig.7 Comparison of average ADC values for solar PV generation on continents

Fig.8 Distribution of ADC values for global solar resources

Fig.9 Distribution characteristics of capacity factors of global PV resources TPIC

Fig.10 Distribution characteristics of ADC of global PV TPIC

Fig.11 Distribution characteristics of ADC of TPIC in already established PV power plants and world

本文引文信息

Tang Q, Wu J, Xiao J, Zhou Y (2021) Assessment of global solar resource development. Global Energy Interconnection, 4(5): 453-464

汤琼，吴佳玮，肖晋宇，周原冰 (2021) 全球太阳能资源开发评估. 全球能源互联网（英文），4(5): 453-464

Biographies

Qiong Tang

Qiong Tang received Master and PhD degree in electronics and micro-electronics at Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain, in 2012 and 2017, respectively. She is working in GEIDCO, Santiago, Chile. Her works focus on intergovernmental cooperation of promoting renewable energy development.

Jiawei Wu

Jiawei Wu received Bachelor and PhD degrees in electrical engineering at Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xian, 2012 and 2018 year. She is working GEIDCO, Beijing, China. Her research direction is renewable energy resource assessment, power system planning, and high voltage technology.

Jinyu Xiao

Jinyu Xiao Bachelor and PhD degrees in electrical engineering at Tsinghua University, Beijing, 1999 and 2005 year. He is working GEIDCO, Beijing, China. Hi research direction is clean energy resource assessment, power system planning, and high voltage technology.

Yuanbing Zhou

Yuanbing Zhou is the Director of Economic &Technology Research Institute of GEIDCO; Special allowance expert of the State Council; Director of China Renewable Energy Association; Member of the Expert Committee of the Think Tank Alliance of the SOEs. His research interests and experiences are related to energy and electricity strategy, energy policy,

clean energy and smart grid, energy interconnection etc.

编辑：王彦博

审核：王伟

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Assessment of global solar resource development

【论文推荐】全球能源互联网发展合作组织 汤琼等：全球太阳能资源开发评估

郑重声明

【论文推荐】全球能源互联网发展合作组织汤琼等：全球太阳能资源开发评估